Singapore Breaks its Controlled Slide of House Prices While Philippine House Prices Hit New Highs in 2017 Q3

Almost all countries discussed in this blog post, with the exception of Thailand, have been experiencing rapid growth in home prices that have outstripped inflation by a wide margin.  The gap between home prices and their inflation adjusted levels are at the widest ever, particularly in Singapore, Hong Kong, and the Philippines.

Singapore

Singapore's home prices have now been declining for fourteen straight quarters, which, according to Bloomberg, is the longest losing streak in five years.  Home prices are still  67.32% above their year-end 2004 levels. Overall prices levels, as measured by inflation have just increased by 29.59% since year end 2004.  In other words, for the past ten years, Singaporean home prices have outpaced inflation by almost than 40 percentage points.

 Malaysia


Neighboring Malaysia's House Price Index now stands at 255.74 as of the fourth quarter 2016, 155.74% higher than year-end 1998 levels.  General price levels as of the fourth quarter 2016 are only around 49.03% higher than their year-end 1998 levels.

Indonesia

Meanwhile, in Indonesia, home prices have shown no signs of slowing down their upward trajectory.  In fact, prices are now at 149.75 as of the third quarter of 2017 or 49.75% above their first quarter 2007 levels. Inflation, however, has marched higher.  General prices are 81.32% above first quarter 2007 levels. House prices, therefore, have lagged inflation by 31.37%.

Philippines

Philippine house price index stands at 235.20% as of the third quarter 2017 or over 135.20% above their year-end 2004 levels.  Philippine home prices have posted one of the largest 10 year gains among all the countries considered in this blog post.  Philippine home prices have outstripped inflation by almost seventy percentage points.  General prices stood at 167.13% or 67.13% above their year-end 2004 levels. Like Indonesia, Philippine home prices have so far no signs of slowing down their upward trajectory for the foreseeable future.   The question is, is this momentum sustainable?  Or will the Philippines and Indonesia follow its ASEAN neighbors, Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand, in exhibiting plateauing or declining house prices?  That remains to be seen.